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2024-12-14 00:16:11

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations. Shengmei Shanghai issued a statement on the new US export control regulations, saying that on December 2, the BIS of the US Department of Commerce issued new control measures for semiconductors exported and transferred to People's Republic of China (PRC) (China), covering advanced integrated circuit (IC) products, specific integrated circuit manufacturing equipment and technology, and supercomputers related to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced computing. According to the new regulations, Shengmei Shanghai and its domestic and Korean subsidiaries are included in the BIS entity list. ACM Research, Inc and its direct subsidiaries outside Chinese mainland are not included in the list. The company is comprehensively evaluating the potential impact of the new regulations on the company's business and operation plans. Based on the current information, the company believes that as the company has established diversified supply chains and alternative resources, the impact on the delivery and service capacity of equipment produced by Shengmei Shanghai and sold to domestic customers will be controllable and manageable. The new regulations will not affect the company's product sales, delivery and service capabilities to overseas customers. Consistent with previous years, the company plans to voluntarily disclose the announcement of 2024 annual operating results and 2025 annual operating results forecast in January 2025.South Korea's finance minister said that he would pay close attention to the financial market and respond to boost investor sentiment when necessary.


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.


The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)CITIC Jiantou: With the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that recently, the National Energy Administration issued the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovation and Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field", proposing that new business entities should be exempted from applying for power business licenses and exploring the mechanism of establishing new energy direct connection to increase the supply of green power for enterprises. Specifically, the new business entities include distributed power supply, adjustable load, virtual power plant and smart microgrid. At present, the installed capacity of new energy in China is growing rapidly. Due to the restriction of power grid access capacity, the problem of power abandonment is on the rise. The mechanism of direct connection of new energy enterprises is helpful to improve the ability of local consumption of new energy, reduce the abandonment of wind and light, and promote the improvement of project yield. Generally speaking, with the continuous promotion of new power system construction, the profitability of new energy power generation projects is expected to improve marginally, and the growth attribute of green power is expected to be highlighted.The vice chairman of Bosch's supervisory board said that as many as 10,000 jobs in Germany are at risk. Frank Sell, vice chairman of the supervisory board of Bosch, the world's top auto parts supplier, said on Wednesday that a series of layoffs announced by Bosch recently have put about 8,000-10,000 jobs in Germany at risk. Sell, who is also the chairman of the labor committee of Bosch's key business mobile solutions division, said that Bosch's overall plan has created an atmosphere that he called "absolutely intolerable" within the group. Bosch has about 135,000 employees in Germany.

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